|Category 4 major hurricane (SSHWS/NWS)|
|Formed||September 29, 2018|
|Dissipated||October 13, 2018|
|Highest winds||1-minute sustained: 140 mph (220 km/h) |
|Lowest pressure||942 mbar (hPa); 27.82 inHg|
|Damage||$2.668 million (2018 USD)|
|Areas affected||Baja California Peninsula, Northwestern Mexico, Southwestern United States, Texas|
|Part of the 2018 Pacific hurricane season|
Hurricane Sergio was a powerful and long-lived tropical cyclone that affected the Baja California Peninsula as a tropical storm. Sergio became the eighth Category 4 hurricane in the East Pacific for 2018, breaking the old record of seven set in 2015. The twentieth named storm, eleventh hurricane, and ninth major hurricane of the season, Sergio originated from a system that was located over northwestern South America on September 24. The National Hurricane Center monitored the disturbance for several days as the system organized into a tropical storm on September 29. Sergio gradually strengthened for the next couple of days as it traveled west-southwestward, becoming a hurricane on October 2. Sergio then turned towards the northwest as it underwent rapid intensification and an eyewall replacement cycle, before peaking as a Category 4 hurricane on October 4, with maximum sustained winds of 140 mph (220 km/h). Sergio maintained peak intensity for 12 hours before undergoing a second eyewall replacement and turning towards the southwest. The system then began another period of intensification, achieving a secondary peak with winds of 125 mph (205 km/h) on October 6. The next day, Sergio began a third eyewall replacement cycle, falling below major hurricane strength. At the same time, Sergio unexpectedly assumed some annular characteristics. Over the next few days, Sergio curved from the southwest to the northeast, weakening into a tropical storm on October 9. Sergio made landfall as a tropical storm on October 12 on the Baja California Peninsula, and later in northwestern Mexico as a tropical depression before dissipating early on October 13.
Sergio's approach warranted the issuance of tropical storm watches and warnings along the western and eastern coasts of Baja California from October 10–11. Sergio made landfall in western Baja California Sur and Sonora on October 13 as a tropical storm and tropical depression, respectively, causing over US$2 million1 in damage, over a thousand school closures, and a few hundred evacuations due to severe flooding. The remnants of Sergio also brought heavy rainfall to Arizona, resulting in the closure of its state fair. Throughout Mexico and Arizona, no injuries or deaths were reported. Heavy rainfall also occurred in Texas and Arizona, resulting in around US$548,000 in damage. Multiple tornadoes also spawned as a result of the increased moisture.
The origins of Hurricane Sergio can be traced to a system that was located over northwestern South America on September 24. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecasted on September 25 that an "area of low pressure would develop a few hundred miles south or southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec in a couple of days". A broad area of low pressure formed "a few hundred miles south-southeast of the southern coast of Mexico" around 12:00 UTC on September 26. The NHC continued to track the disturbance for a few more days as the system traveled west-northwest, before it developed into Tropical Storm Sergio on September 29 at 12:00 UTC, while approximately 385 mi (620 km) south of Zihuatanejo, Mexico. Sergio was indeed a tropical storm, but unlike most other tropical cyclones, it did not possess an inner wind core. Instead, the maximum sustained winds were located in a rainband approximately 125 mi (205 km) east of the center.
Despite being located within a favorable environment of warm sea surface temperatures and low wind shear, Sergio only gradually intensified over the next couple of days, with the system becoming a Category 1 hurricane on October 2 at 00:00 UTC. Meanwhile, the storm tracked just south of west as a mid-level ridge developed to the north. The storm had developed "a well-defined eye underneath a deep convective overcast with cloud tops around −85 °C (−121 °F)". Sergio then began a period of rapid intensification, reaching major hurricane status by 18:00 UTC. The wind speed then leveled off for about 18 hours as system underwent an eyewall replacement cycle. At the same time, the mid-level ridge had weakened, resulting in the storm travelling to the northwest. Sergio then began another period of intensification, becoming the eighth Category 4 hurricane of the season on October 4 at 00:00 UTC, breaking the old record of seven set in 2015. Six hours later, Sergio peaked with maximum sustained winds of 140 mph (220 km/h) and a minimum central pressure of 942 mbar (27.82 inHg), while located about 825 mi (1325 km) south of Cabo San Lucas. The storm maintained peak intensity for 12 hours before weakening due to another eyewall replacement cycle. As a result, Sergio's structure deteriorated, "with cloud tops warming and the eye becoming ragged and less distinct". A mid-level ridge that was developing to the northwest caused Sergio to turn towards the southwest from October 5–6.
After bottoming out as a low-end Category 3 on October 5 at 06:00 UTC, Sergio began to intensify once more, reaching a secondary peak with winds of 125 mph (205 km/h) on October 6 at 00:00 UTC. After maintaining its intensity for 18 hours, Sergio began to weaken around 00:00 UTC on October 7 due to upwelling and a third eyewall replacement cycle. Soon after, Sergio began another turn, rotating from the southwest to the northeast over the next few days due to the influence of a mid-latitude trough. Sergio unexpectedly acquired some annular characteristics on October 7, with the eye having doubled in size overnight. The system weakened to a tropical storm on October 9 at 18:00 UTC, due to cooling sea surface temperatures. Sergio made landfall near Los Castros, Baja California Sur, around 12:00 UTC on October 12, as a mid-grade tropical storm. The storm made a second landfall near Guaymas, Sonora, around 18:00 UTC, as a tropical depression, before dissipating over northwest Mexico around midnight. Its remnants continued northward, causing heavy rainfall and tornadoes in the United States.
The Government of Mexico issued a tropical storm watch on October 10 along the western coast of the Baja California Peninsula from Punta Eugenia to Cabo San Lazaro and along the eastern coast from Bahia San Juan Bautista to San Evaristo. Early the next day, as Sergio rapidly approached the peninsula, the tropical storm watch on the west coast was upgraded to a tropical storm warning. The watches on the east coast were also upgraded to warnings later the same day. All watches and warnings were discontinued as Sergio moved inland. Civil protection agencies in Baja California, Baja California Sur, and Sonora issued yellow alerts, indicative of moderate danger, in anticipation of severe weather conditions. Several municipalities around the landfall area in Sonora had orange alerts. Plan DN-III-E and the Marine Plan were activated in advance for Baja California Sur, allowing the Mexican Army to help with disaster relief efforts and rescue operations. A blue alert, meaning minimal danger, was issued for Sinaloa and emergency shelters were opened due to rainfall and Sergio's proximity.
Sergio made landfall in western Baja California Sur and later in Sonora, bringing heavy rains and strong winds to northern Mexico. In Baja California Sur, multiple roads and schools in Loreto were damaged. In Sonora, almost 400 people had to evacuate to a temporary shelter due to the threat of flooding. Strong winds up to 43 mph (70 km/h) downed trees, utility poles, and damaged homes and businesses in Guaymas, causing approximately MX$40 million (US$2.12 million) in damage as well as several power outages. Hermosillo experienced street flooding which impeded traffic and overflowed sewers in several areas; multiple power outages also occurred. A concert scheduled to take place in the city was canceled in the interest of public safety. In Punta de Aqua II, over 5.05 in (128 mm) of rain was reported. Additionally, Mazatlán and Plutarco Elías Calles reported rainfall totals of 4.59 in (117 mm) and 4.53 in (115 mm), respectively. The Puerto Peñasco Municipality was heavily impacted, with a majority of the houses in the region damaged by flooding. More than 1,000 schools were closed in Chihuahua and classes in 72 municipalities of Sinaloa were suspended. However, there were no deaths or injuries. In the Chihuahuan municipality of Nuevo Casas Grandes, heavy rainfall flooded streets and an unknown number of houses experienced flood damage. Throughout the state of Michoacán, the combined effects from Sergio and nearby Hurricane Rosa destroyed 86,000 acres (35,000 ha) of crops.
The moisture from Sergio's remnants moved into Arizona, California and Texas, generating heavy rains and spawning multiple tornadoes. In Arizona, a Pacific upper-level low and moisture from Sergio led to heavy rainfall, with some areas in Phoenix recording rainfall totals of 3 in (80 mm) and ankle-deep flooding. The Arizona State Fair was closed due to flooding, the first time in "recent memory". Damage on the fairgrounds and to the surrounding roads was estimated at US$50,000. A portion of Old U.S. Route 80 was closed between Gila Bend and Buckeye after rainfall exceeding 1 in (30 mm) per hour caused flooding in the area. Moderate to heavy rainfall in the deserts southeast of Phoenix caused flash flooding, halting traffic on State Route 187 between state routes 87 and 387. Runoff from heavy rainfall in the Maricopa Mountains flowed across State Route 238, resulting in multiple closures from Mobile to Bosque and US$2,000 in damage. Numerous other road closures occurred throughout the Phoenix Metropolitan Area as a result of flash floods, with damage in the region totaling approximately US$73,000. Moisture from Sergio's remnants also entered Southern California, producing thunderstorms mainly to the south of Point Conception. Widespread storms caused flash floods throughout the Coachella Valley, with a 12-hour rainfall total of 0.72 in (18 mm) observed at Palm Desert. In nearby Indio, hail up to 1 in (25 mm) in diameter was reported. Floodwaters up to 1.5 ft (0.46 m) deep were reported on a segment of Interstate 10 near Cactus City. Multiple flood-related road closures also occurred near Rimlon and Thousand Palms.
The remnants of Sergio moved through Texas from October 12–13, producing severe thunderstorms that caused US$475,000 in damage throughout the state. About US$15,000 in damage was reported after 60 kn (69 mph; 110 km/h) wind gusts damaged a storage unit between Eureka and Mildred. Wind gusts of 65 kn (75 mph; 120 km/h) caused about US$4,000 in damage to power lines and a carport near Greenwood. Outside of Shiloh, 65 kn (75 mph; 120 km/h) wind gusts destroyed a metal barn and either damaged or destroyed multiple trees, resulting in US$5,000 in damage. Wind gusts between 56–60 kn (64–69 mph; 104–111 km/h) were reported2 in numerous other counties. There were also reports of hail in several counties. Just outside Baxter, hail 1.5 in (40 mm) in diameter fell on several properties, causing US$5,000 in damage. Flash flooding affected the state, resulting in multiple road closures. In Wink, the intersection of State Highway 115 and Wildcat Drive was closed due to flooding. Outside of Midland, State Highway 158 experienced flooding near Interstate 20.
At least ten tornadoes spawned in Texas as a result of the increased moisture. An EF2 tornado near Knickerbocker extensively damaged a metal building and either uprooted or snapped many trees, causing US$200,000 in damage. In Brady, an EF0 tornado uprooted one tree, caused another to fall on a home, and generated roof damage, resulting in US$150,000 in damage. Approximately US$25,000 in damage occurred near Sardis when an EF0 tornado damaged a corner of a gymnasium, broke out windows on cars, bent down lightpoles and handicap signs in a parkinglot, and threw a trailer into a nearby field. Two tornadoes occurred near Chat. The first was an EF0 tornado that damaged a few trees as well as shingles and fences at multiple homes, generating US$15,000 in damage. The second was an EF1 tornado that substantially damaged one home, damaged the roof and deck of another, destroyed a shed, and tossed a boat and RV trailer, resulting in about US$50,000 in damage. An EF0 tornado near Brandon caused about US$5,000 in tree damage. At least four more EF0 tornadoes occurred:2 two in Navarro County, one in Freestone County, and one in Panola County.
1 All damage values are in 2018 USD unless otherwise stated.
2 No significant damage was reported.
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